Central and Eastern Europe
Political and economic change, national trajectories, regional cooperation and the evolving place of Central and Eastern Europe in the wider European order.
Regional analysisIndependent research · Strategic foresight
Foresight for a changing Europe.
PAS Foresight Center explores the political, economic, security and societal forces shaping Central and Eastern Europe and its relationships with the wider world.
About the Center
Connecting regional insight with the bigger picture.
A space for careful analysis of change across Central and Eastern Europe, Europe and the transatlantic community.
Political decisions, economic shifts, technological change and social developments rarely happen in isolation. They interact across borders and time horizons, creating new risks as well as new possibilities.
PAS Foresight Center brings these developments into view. Its focus is on understanding how change is unfolding, why it matters for the region, and what questions institutions and communities may need to consider as they plan for the future.
Areas of expertise
Regional knowledge. Strategic questions.
The Center's lens connects developments within the region to the wider choices facing Europe and its partners.
Transatlantic relations
Europe–North America relations, alliance cooperation, shared priorities and the domestic forces shaping the transatlantic agenda.
Europe and North AmericaSecurity and resilience
Strategic uncertainty, democratic resilience, information challenges and the capacity of societies and institutions to adapt to pressure.
Risk and resilienceEuropean cooperation
Changing policy priorities, relations among European institutions and states, and cooperation on issues that cross borders.
Institutions and policyGeopolitical and economic shifts
Long-term movements in power, trade, technology, energy and economic security that may influence Europe's choices.
Global trendsStrategic foresight
Horizon scanning, trend analysis and scenario thinking to explore uncertainty, test assumptions and consider alternative futures.
Scenarios and foresightHow we look at change
Three connected perspectives.
A regional issue can have national roots, European consequences and transatlantic implications. We consider those levels together.
From local to regional
We examine how national developments connect to shared regional questions and different experiences across Central and Eastern Europe.
Across institutions and borders
We follow the relationships among states, institutions, societies and partners that shape collective responses to change.
From immediate pressures to long horizons
We place current developments in context and consider the slower trends and possible turning points that may influence what follows.
Research themes
Questions that cut across the agenda.
These themes offer a framework for exploring how political, economic, security and societal changes interact.
Democratic resilience and governance
Institutional trust, democratic practice, public debate and the capacity to respond to pressure.
Security in a changing environment
How strategic uncertainty, new technologies and changing threat perceptions affect policy and preparedness.
Economic security and interdependence
Trade, investment, supply chains and technology as sources of both opportunity and vulnerability.
Energy and the transition
The implications of energy choices, market change and transition pathways for regional security and cooperation.
Information and the public sphere
Information environments, emerging communication technologies and their influence on societies and decision-making.
Societal change and future choices
Demographic, cultural and technological shifts that can reshape public priorities and long-term policy choices.
Our approach
Make uncertainty easier to examine.
Foresight does not predict one outcome. It helps people ask better questions and prepare for more than one possibility.
Scan
Notice emerging signals, new developments and early signs of change across relevant fields.
Connect
Interpret signals alongside established trends, regional context and the relationships between issues.
Explore
Consider different plausible futures and examine how assumptions or events could shift the picture.
Prepare
Draw out implications, questions and choices that can help institutions think and act with greater awareness.
Research and publications
Ideas and analysis, as the work develops.
A home for future research, briefings and other publications from the Center.
Publications will appear here
This section is ready for future analysis and research. Specific publications, projects and findings will be added when they are available.
No projects or publications are being presented as completed at this stage.
Contact
Continue the conversation.
For inquiries about the Center's areas of interest and future work, please get in touch by email.